TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fokinaof Fokina, Vacherot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae90…f6c8backed Vacherot34c36,500$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,299.926937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Vacherot2c31,256$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fokina67c25,655$17,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,398.092,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Fokina63c13,120$8,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,898.125064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed Fokina61c7,571$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Vacherot41c7,260$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.4919134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Vacherot37c7,086$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.8476546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Vacherot33c6,499$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.625349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fokina63c6,448$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Vacherot37c5,500$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03518237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Vacherot1c5,196$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.642,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Fokina62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vacherot38c4,191$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.681,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Vacherot39c4,095$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60335247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9333…3fa5backed Fokina64c3,877$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vacherot41c3,662$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002524%6 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Fokina64c3,571$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.142,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Fokina63c3,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29519241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Vacherot38c3,347$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.572,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Vacherot17c3,309$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.573531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Fokina63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.628039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Vacherot38c3,100$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17812442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Fokina57c3,089$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Vacherot36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9750%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Vacherot18c2,772$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49926045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x601a…3506backed Vacherot41c2,600$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.3150%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Fokina64c2,546$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.528150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vacherot45c2,413$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.4744754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Vacherot37c2,190$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.414750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Fokina61c2,150$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84257645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Fokina63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fokina58c1,999$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.5844360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed Vacherot37c1,892$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Fokina62c1,766$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.8162545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Fokina64c1,761$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.412839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Vacherot36c1,458$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.887,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Vacherot36c1,442$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.452,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vacherot28c1,347$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.692,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Fokina63c1,304$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6414766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Vacherot39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Vacherot39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033137.2%123 W · 208 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Vacherot12c1,218$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Vacherot38c1,192$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.791,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Vacherot43c1,172$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50499139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…4e38backed Vacherot43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Vacherot37c1,146$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.051,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8538…e020backed Vacherot42c1,036$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Vacherot43c1,014$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Fokina65c1,012$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.136432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ac…fb22backed Vacherot20c998.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Fokina58c963.33$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.62343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed Vacherot43c958.68$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Fokina62c922.35$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.746756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Fokina61c903.21$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2512752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vacherot8c855.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.172,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Fokina59c853.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2913652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Vacherot38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Vacherot38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Vacherot38c724.88$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27737339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Fokina64c656.16$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Fokina64c611.72$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2212335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Fokina63c593.99$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.452,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Fokina59c554.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5512631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3801…83ddbacked Fokina66c525.56$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.571090%9 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick57cpaid+56.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Fokina61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Vacherot36c499.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Fokina60c489.08$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6312627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Vacherot43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Vacherot37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Vacherot19c383.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Fokina63c379.53$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5514259.2%84 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Vacherot38c374.38$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6124448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Vacherot27c371.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Vacherot22c357.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1349632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Vacherot42c356.56$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.841,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Fokina61c330.82$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0217863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vacherot41c321.17$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.967,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Fokina63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4654138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Fokina64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.542358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Vacherot14c309.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5188446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Vacherot42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12622840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Vacherot44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540f…cf12backed Fokina63c265.65$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…97bcbacked Fokina61c259.9$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Vacherot39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Vacherot41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Fokina80c231.68$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3413834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Vacherot39c229.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6732548%156 W · 169 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Vacherot39c229.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1125433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7d…5aeebacked Vacherot44c222.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984422.7%10 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3eca…9291backed Vacherot45c216.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.39922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Fokina58c215$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.31,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc662…592fbacked Fokina64c213.38$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.821060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Vacherot44c212$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0817646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Fokina61c204.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9230750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Fokina59c202.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8510261.8%63 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Fokina61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7878452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Fokina64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Vacherot41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed Vacherot17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.