Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd94b3e1396ca47bf60833a5ade1094f246c9edea0273b8a820cf46010353bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Arlington Mavericksof Tarleton State Texans, UT Arlington Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Tarleton State Texans | 3c | 899.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Tarleton State Texans | 21c | 705.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Tarleton State Texans | 18c | 248$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Tarleton State Texans | 15c | 228.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 70c | 203.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 80c | 153.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 136.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 72c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 119.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 58c | 107.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 60.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…19a2backed Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 59c | 55.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 54.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tarleton State Texans | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 46.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 33.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Tarleton State Texans | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 36c | 29.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 27.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…cd17backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericksthis page
- Spread: UT Arlington Mavericks (-3.5)UT Arlington Mavericks won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 146.5Under won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.