Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Murray State Racers vs. Drake Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e7eccd825d09d4f4be387507970076c5df05978c7b029528c1d914da53042b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drake Bulldogsof Murray State Racers, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c9e…663cbacked Murray State Racers | 48c | 4,687$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Drake Bulldogs | 53c | 3,113$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.77 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 2,214$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.29 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Murray State Racers | 68c | 2,200$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.32 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Murray State Racers | 63c | 1,641$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Murray State Racers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Murray State Racers | 67c | 1,464$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Drake Bulldogs | 43c | 1,183$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Drake Bulldogs | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murray State Racers | 56c | 916.18$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 840.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.68 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Murray State Racers | 7c | 661.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Murray State Racers | 5c | 579.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 552.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.79 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Drake Bulldogs | 41c | 530.03$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 457.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.52 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Murray State Racers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 296$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 268.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.66 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Murray State Racers | 66c | 227.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Drake Bulldogs | 34c | 223.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Murray State Racers | 33c | 182$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Murray State Racers | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Murray State Racers | 55c | 166$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Drake Bulldogs | 38c | 157$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Murray State Racers | 52c | 154.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Murray State Racers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…af3fbacked Murray State Racers | 67c | 149.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 44c | 140.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 32c | 136.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Murray State Racers | 67c | 135.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Murray State Racers | 67c | 135$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Drake Bulldogs | 34c | 131$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Drake Bulldogs | 41c | 130.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Murray State Racers | 27c | 127.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Drake Bulldogs | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 92.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Drake Bulldogs | 38c | 86.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Murray State Racers | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Murray State Racers | 49c | 50.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drake Bulldogs | 43c | 45.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Drake Bulldogs | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Drake Bulldogs | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97dd…97ccbacked Murray State Racers | 28c | 41.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Drake Bulldogs | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed Drake Bulldogs | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Drake Bulldogs | 51c | 37.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Murray State Racers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 34.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 30.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…c634backed Murray State Racers | 66c | 29.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…1193backed Murray State Racers | 65c | 26.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…f288backed Murray State Racers | 69c | 23.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…cd17backed Murray State Racers | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Drake Bulldogs | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murray State Racers vs. Drake Bulldogsthis page
- Murray State Racers vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-5.5)Drake Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.