TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Murray State Racers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Drake Bulldogsof Murray State Racers, Drake Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$789,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$801,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $789,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Murray State Racers48c680,127$326,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326,295.4235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Drake Bulldogs52c250,000$130,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,0009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Drake Bulldogs52c180,000$93,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,40069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Drake Bulldogs52c150,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Drake Bulldogs52c80,000$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,399.9913649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Murray State Racers48c62,591$30,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,043.692646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Drake Bulldogs52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Murray State Racers48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,76010441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Drake Bulldogs52c11,111$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.2813154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Drake Bulldogs52c10,450$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0169144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Drake Bulldogs56c6,211$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.1135151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Drake Bulldogs52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Drake Bulldogs52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Drake Bulldogs53c5,632$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.5612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Drake Bulldogs52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4008946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Drake Bulldogs53c4,901$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.4374051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Drake Bulldogs52c3,619$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.915843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Drake Bulldogs52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Drake Bulldogs52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs52c1,992$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.165,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Murray State Racers48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8646445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Murray State Racers48c1,785$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.796144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Drake Bulldogs52c1,740$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.9118650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Murray State Racers47c1,623$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Drake Bulldogs53c1,127$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.548230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Murray State Racers47c1,125$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.995945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Drake Bulldogs54c1,118$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.2325556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Drake Bulldogs52c1,002$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.971,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Murray State Racers48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Drake Bulldogs55c855.54$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5514150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Drake Bulldogs52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38411347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Murray State Racers43c566.67$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.672,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Drake Bulldogs52c547.83$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9655749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Drake Bulldogs52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6227045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs54c366.47$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Murray State Racers47c321.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.993941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Murray State Racers48c316.23$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.791637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Drake Bulldogs51c283.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.136758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6cc…535abacked Murray State Racers48c283.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Murray State Racers48c270$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.64344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Drake Bulldogs52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12089146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…fd97backed Murray State Racers48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Murray State Racers48c235.1$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.859440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Drake Bulldogs52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Drake Bulldogs52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3149849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Drake Bulldogs54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.457448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Drake Bulldogs52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.419848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Murray State Racers48c172.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.947450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Murray State Racers48c145$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.62450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2321443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Murray State Racers46c135.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.477237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Murray State Racers47c131.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Drake Bulldogs53c126.46$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.913240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Murray State Racers48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Murray State Racers48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Murray State Racers49c119$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3132146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Drake Bulldogs52c110.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.939945.5%45 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Drake Bulldogs53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4714654.1%79 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Drake Bulldogs52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Drake Bulldogs53c93.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.652075%15 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Murray State Racers48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Murray State Racers46c87.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.444,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Murray State Racers48c81.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.193348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Drake Bulldogs52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3123754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Drake Bulldogs52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1617943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Drake Bulldogs54c66.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4319653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Murray State Racers47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0825436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Murray State Racers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Murray State Racers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Drake Bulldogs52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.84055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Drake Bulldogs52c59.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5121059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Drake Bulldogs54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.567846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Murray State Racers48c54.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0317661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Murray State Racers46c50.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4242751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Drake Bulldogs51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Drake Bulldogs52c46.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.312341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Drake Bulldogs53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3363551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Murray State Racers45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Drake Bulldogs53c32.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Drake Bulldogs52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8512054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Murray State Racers48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.448547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Murray State Racers48c26.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.692748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Drake Bulldogs52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1210058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Drake Bulldogs52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4cf6…801cbacked Drake Bulldogs54c18.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.