TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Virginia Mountaineersof West Virginia Mountaineers, Arizona State Sun Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Arizona State Sun Devils55c9,101$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked West Virginia Mountaineers45c5,654$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers45c4,342$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Arizona State Sun Devils18c2,024$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.825520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils55c1,756$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.114,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…53e6backed Arizona State Sun Devils55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed West Virginia Mountaineers48c939$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.662,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers44c824$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.441,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked West Virginia Mountaineers58c800$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.143450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils23c800$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed West Virginia Mountaineers49c752.39$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0124444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers46c699.74$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.742740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked West Virginia Mountaineers29c687.58$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.791,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Arizona State Sun Devils52c661$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Arizona State Sun Devils54c581.98$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.277038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers76c569.04$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.831,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers45c536.83$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.252,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Arizona State Sun Devils32c468.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers48c463.91$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.916043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers46c462$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.488937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils55c461.6$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.8875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils55c455.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.15,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed West Virginia Mountaineers45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.444656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed West Virginia Mountaineers46c419.77$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6839744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Arizona State Sun Devils34c401$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.341,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed West Virginia Mountaineers46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21621347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Arizona State Sun Devils55c361.82$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Arizona State Sun Devils53c301.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0465825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed West Virginia Mountaineers46c286.55$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.052,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Arizona State Sun Devils46c267$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State Sun Devils55c242.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.281,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed West Virginia Mountaineers51c238.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils40c231.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed West Virginia Mountaineers51c231.71$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.543253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Arizona State Sun Devils56c214.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3382048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers47c202.51$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.335250%26 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Arizona State Sun Devils18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357324.7%18 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Arizona State Sun Devils55c180.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed West Virginia Mountaineers45c140.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.293,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona State Sun Devils43c132.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.262,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona State Sun Devils59c123.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.831,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed West Virginia Mountaineers46c114.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.429945.5%45 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona State Sun Devils60c108.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.571,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed West Virginia Mountaineers47c105.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8253646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed West Virginia Mountaineers31c95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5518654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed West Virginia Mountaineers61c87.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers46c86.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.954,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed West Virginia Mountaineers45c86.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.826065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers44c63.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6222552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona State Sun Devils41c52.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.673,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Arizona State Sun Devils57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Arizona State Sun Devils57c50.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.636349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ef…43e6backed Arizona State Sun Devils24c46.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Arizona State Sun Devils54c45.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.829151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed West Virginia Mountaineers44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22875%21 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed West Virginia Mountaineers44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6417943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers36c42.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.229851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Arizona State Sun Devils48c34.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Arizona State Sun Devils59c33.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Arizona State Sun Devils53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Arizona State Sun Devils40c31.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.543336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed West Virginia Mountaineers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2529954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Arizona State Sun Devils40c30.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.127812.8%10 W · 68 L-17.2wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8277…d709backed West Virginia Mountaineers43c30.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Arizona State Sun Devils53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed West Virginia Mountaineers51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.713464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4338…648ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils60c29.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-51.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona State Sun Devils42c29.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.354,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36f…cd17backed Arizona State Sun Devils53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.372356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Arizona State Sun Devils53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Arizona State Sun Devils39c25.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd68…503bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils57c25.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.341855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Arizona State Sun Devils49c25.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7516952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3f…38e4backed West Virginia Mountaineers50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers47c22.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2119332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Arizona State Sun Devils54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8829442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Arizona State Sun Devils65c20.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70af…bcf2backed Arizona State Sun Devils53c20.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Arizona State Sun Devils52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Arizona State Sun Devils54c18.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Arizona State Sun Devils63c17.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.163135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.