Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x092732f8bb538643ad3509999884e4f1e3049b569c929160322c6fe33d6ed741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Loyola Marymount Lions, Seattle Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Seattle Redhawks | 62c | 1,390$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.32 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 24c | 1,047$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seattle Redhawks | 66c | 383.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 38c | 222.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 35c | 194.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Seattle Redhawks | 70c | 147$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 135.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 128.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 102.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Seattle Redhawks | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 36c | 54.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 35c | 36.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 37c | 34.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 37c | 33.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…c634backed Seattle Redhawks | 65c | 30.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…cd17backed Seattle Redhawks | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawksthis page
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 138.5Under won
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.