Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d575becf61be4b8e3e61930b7241d37373bd013040ee0b1696d46cda92eae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $452,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 58c | 411,013$240,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,232.34 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 42c | 213,756$90,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,551.14 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 40c | 85,805$34,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,424.95 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 30,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,900 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 26,479$11,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,242.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 20,647$9,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 40c | 11,111$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.6 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 41c | 9,568$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.77 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 2,400$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 1,300$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 41c | 869$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.71 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 798$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Under | 41c | 768.29$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 368$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 331$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Over | 57c | 246.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 43c | 198.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Under | 45c | 128.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 117.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…71d4backed Over | 10c | 117.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…d0f7backed Over | 60c | 87.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 76.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 42c | 64.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 41c | 52.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 43c | 28.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 40c | 27.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 26.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Over | 56c | 21.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 139.5this page
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle RedhawksSeattle Redhawks won
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.