Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c97b0fb7313f1e583e015e97d47f742e78d44b892bc66b786567afad223f7c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Marquette Golden Eagles, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Butler Bulldogs | 76c | 6,762$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.38 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 29c | 4,613$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.82 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butler Bulldogs | 77c | 3,970$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.45 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 2,375$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 1,498$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 28c | 1,258$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Butler Bulldogs | 73c | 1,176$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 23c | 1,115$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 23c | 1,107$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 16c | 1,015$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 21c | 1,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Butler Bulldogs | 75c | 933.37$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 28c | 863.51$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 852.88$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 20c | 844$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 14c | 834.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Butler Bulldogs | 79c | 740.3$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 707.43$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 26c | 665.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 30c | 642.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 75c | 430$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 25c | 400.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 29c | 344$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 76c | 336.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…320fbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 28c | 329.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 68c | 303.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 285.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 73c | 263$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Butler Bulldogs | 75c | 144.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 22c | 122.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Butler Bulldogs | 77c | 120.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 22c | 112.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 30c | 110.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 17c | 100.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 83.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Butler Bulldogs | 76c | 81.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 15c | 75.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Butler Bulldogs | 77c | 70.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 62.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 29c | 60.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 27c | 52.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 51.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 27c | 50.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Butler Bulldogs | 69c | 43.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 35.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…4306backed Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…82edbacked Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 23.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Butler Bulldogs | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…fd34backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…cd17backed Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Butler Bulldogs | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…e4efbacked Butler Bulldogs | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 159.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-5.5)Butler Bulldogs won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-6.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.