Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f7c29008806709347e70a9e25c875d622b810a6dca9a9f6339147eb25826d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Butler Bulldogs, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 348,399$184,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,649.57 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 299,694$140,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,837.76 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 116,982$55,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,000.25 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 29,970$14,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,884.16 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 26,832$12,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,212.74 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 21,771$11,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,320.79 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 21,101$10,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,972.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 17,083$8,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,883.16 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 13,638$7,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,228.14 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 13,000$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 8,909$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.78 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 5,810$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.27 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 2,324$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.06 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 1,598$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.17 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 1,496$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 1,142$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.66 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 536$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.72 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 530.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 319.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 315.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 301.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 273.59$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 249.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 131.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 119.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 58.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 57.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 50.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…556abacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…d4ddbacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…d157backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-6.5)this page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler BulldogsButler Bulldogs won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 159.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-5.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.