TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Utah, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cec…e65cbacked Utah48c10,076$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,835.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeef…0cbfbacked Stars52c7,307$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.9831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah39c2,027$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.4186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah38c1,518$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.621,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Stars65c1,379$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.815261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Utah38c1,064$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.1531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars63c1,000$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Utah35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Stars62c790$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.213361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Stars65c763.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.683850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars64c749.94$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.981,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Stars61c485.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah36c464.91$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Utah36c383.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.141851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars59c376.27$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2723761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Utah36c369.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah35c313.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.071,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah5c282$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah37c265.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.883,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Utah37c258$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.469153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Utah48c210.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah36c205$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Stars61c200.9$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.359554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Stars63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…feb3backed Stars55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Utah36c181.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4147249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa5…6343backed Utah37c179.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Stars63c166.66$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6648654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef9…aa70backed Utah41c165.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Stars65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c8e…fba1backed Stars75c132.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bb…6566backed Stars64c111.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x423b…0972backed Utah41c109.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a7…f445backed Utah37c103.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52cb…4d2bbacked Utah41c101.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Stars58c101.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6730155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Stars62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3813953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Stars64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Utah36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Stars63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Stars61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3624945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e88…b2b2backed Stars61c97.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Utah46c86.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb609…086cbacked Stars61c83.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah22c80.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Stars64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1313562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars60c76.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5873157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdf…18a6backed Stars61c74.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…82f1backed Stars64c72.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.027100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55ed…2c4bbacked Stars61c72.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Stars64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.519057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Stars62c57.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fb…ced0backed Stars61c55.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ff…ff8dbacked Stars61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8247…714dbacked Utah40c49.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2995…6fc6backed Stars61c46.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f59…5d1abacked Utah37c46.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x973b…0332backed Stars60c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Utah38c42.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…ec57backed Stars62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Stars62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd28…2e65backed Stars61c39.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.431968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5228…f4b5backed Utah40c39.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb834…9d27backed Stars79c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953d…0800backed Utah40c38.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x672e…b7d0backed Stars60c38.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b54…fc61backed Stars60c37.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c7…7e16backed Utah40c37.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcdc…0536backed Stars63c37.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8932…6cf8backed Utah40c36.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cf…4643backed Utah40c35.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22c7…e8e0backed Stars60c35.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf068…daf9backed Utah40c35.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a32…4613backed Stars60c35.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc3…3c7abacked Utah40c35.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…d791backed Stars60c34.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…a71bbacked Utah40c34.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd294…c16cbacked Stars64c34.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a89…f7f8backed Stars60c34.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Utah36c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.458346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…4852backed Stars60c33.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x264f…5057backed Stars60c33.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d57…3bd3backed Stars61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359a…efa5backed Stars60c32.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bd…0d48backed Utah40c31.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45b1…4eecbacked Stars60c31.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044a…5903backed Stars60c30.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Stars65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc232…037fbacked Utah37c30.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccaa…9066backed Stars59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa429…80cbbacked Stars63c29.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa2…406dbacked Stars60c29.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa213…7e39backed Utah40c29.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cad…7bbdbacked Stars64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Utah38c28.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.113846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a96…8751backed Utah41c28.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.