Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Valparaiso Beacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11fd04029d7332dba7cc1cf2f82772f65ba8610a4647d05ccdd387bc27f633e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valparaiso Beaconsof Southern Illinois Salukis, Valparaiso Beacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 1,087$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 1,001$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 44c | 945$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 24c | 940.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 536$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 27c | 347.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 42c | 311.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Valparaiso Beacons | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 35c | 115.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 44c | 112.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valparaiso Beacons | 55c | 109.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valparaiso Beacons | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 44c | 74.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 59.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…cd17backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Valparaiso Beacons | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Valparaiso Beacons | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Valparaiso Beaconsthis page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Valparaiso Beacons (-1.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.