Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31d69a4db068299d2deae2e3322b17fd3a6d99fb0381372af00269811160e488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 53c | 16,403$8,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.58 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 7,254$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.32 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,235$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Under | 47c | 1,049$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,033$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 860.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 47c | 485.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 54c | 144.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 133.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 55c | 73.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…cf0abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…5670backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 46c | 29.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 149.5this page
- Spread: UNCG Spartans (-1.5)UNCG Spartans won
- Spread: UNCG Spartans (-2.5)UNCG Spartans won
- UNCG Spartans vs. VMI KeydetsUNCG Spartans won
- UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 150.5Over won
- UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.