TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNLV Runnin' Rebelsof Utah State Aggies, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Utah State Aggies28c5,673$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.332,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Utah State Aggies0c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x716d…4206backed Utah State Aggies13c2,988$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad8…fdffbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels20c2,248$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.833100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+287.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah State Aggies14c2,238$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.231,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah State Aggies24c2,175$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.571,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels23c2,089$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6164146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Utah State Aggies70c1,713$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Utah State Aggies3c1,668$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.263993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels6c1,231$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.8412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah State Aggies67c1,108$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.123,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels7c1,000$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.831,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels9c831.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.75,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Utah State Aggies36c799.99$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3914151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels20c777.37$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.386149.2%30 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels33c768.69$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.61,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c694.76$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2140252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Utah State Aggies2c647.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9420548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels10c639.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.5414027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels23c563.03$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.62040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels17c549.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.078817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels15c485.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.294025%10 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Utah State Aggies18c474.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.692,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels21c473.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.74825%12 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Utah State Aggies55c472.49$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.092050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5d…014bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels9c423.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+254.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels16c410$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…a8b5backed Utah State Aggies16c383.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels18c345.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.192524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels80c304.28$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.77862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels11c302.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.586428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0cb…d140backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels9c300$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels8c292.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.452,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels21c290.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.398930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Utah State Aggies15c287.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…83d6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels5c280.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+817%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State Aggies41c272.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.841,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels38c259.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.741782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1993…7404backed Utah State Aggies55c254.39$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels41c244.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.395619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2211136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels6c218.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.164740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels39c215.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.357250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Utah State Aggies43c212.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6512435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Utah State Aggies6c209$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4519238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels39c199.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.751,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels7c190$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.729442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e1…cdcdbacked Utah State Aggies64c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e0…abb0backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels37c146.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c140$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.752740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels22c129.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+132.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels8c126.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.65911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07fb…f0d5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels21c123.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+137.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57f…1b3cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels12c122.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels42c119.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a48…a62bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels79c118.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13bc…2d19backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels13c114.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.85837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels23c109.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x916a…ace1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels14c108.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+141.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels11c108.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.682927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…5670backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels10c100.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid+66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…a9b7backed Utah State Aggies62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ceb…3656backed Utah State Aggies32c99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels51c97.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.662948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c3…5ce1backed Utah State Aggies70c90$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2e…f106backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels40c88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+88.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Utah State Aggies14c86.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90bb…1bdbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c78.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+79.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Utah State Aggies49c73.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah State Aggies26c71.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Utah State Aggies31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8744955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf7…bd97backed Utah State Aggies64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0407…1034backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c54.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+183.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…1092backed Utah State Aggies54c51.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Utah State Aggies41c42.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.533336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Utah State Aggies71c41.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d5…b033backed Utah State Aggies61c41.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Utah State Aggies48c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.617647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb252…56febacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c40.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Utah State Aggies48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.394153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels36c29.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.154520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels48c22.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.992356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x289d…ed57backed Utah State Aggies80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Utah State Aggies75c17.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.013135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Utah State Aggies79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.888459.5%50 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Utah State Aggies76c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43773%27 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.