Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4b965e016eeb7583e79fc632985970c702c3c774da1945bdb5a007a7e10dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Galions, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,683 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89c1…ea0dbacked Galions | 63c | 9,609$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galions | 42c | 7,868$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.92 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Solary | 60c | 7,851$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.56 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Galions | 18c | 5,219$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.19 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Galions | 57c | 1,866$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Galions | 56c | 1,809$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.4 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions | 42c | 1,766$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.39 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Solary | 35c | 1,694$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.13 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Solary | 45c | 1,502$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Galions | 59c | 1,443$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.14 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Galions | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 51c | 1,200$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Solary | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Galions | 61c | 800$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…3930backed Solary | 58c | 676.32$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions | 51c | 618.49$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.97 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Galions | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Solary | 54c | 449.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…285bbacked Galions | 72c | 415.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Solary | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Solary | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galions | 79c | 398.39$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.39 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Solary | 79c | 372$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Solary | 37c | 368.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 79c | 364.25$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…4892backed Solary | 16c | 321.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.38 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…5fc8backed Solary | 70c | 308.14$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Solary | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 59c | 279.05$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed Solary | 8c | 273.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Solary | 11c | 262.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Galions | 46c | 231.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Solary | 43c | 229.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Solary | 46c | 224.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Solary | 26c | 209$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Galions | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Solary | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Solary | 9c | 190.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Solary | 58c | 180.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Galions | 62c | 168.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Galions | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Solary | 44c | 137.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Solary | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Solary | 78c | 134.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Solary | 55c | 127.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Solary | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Galions | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…b3d8backed Galions | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Solary | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Galions | 44c | 96.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Solary | 43c | 95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Solary | 53c | 92.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…9b3ebacked Solary | 29c | 87.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Solary | 50c | 87.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Solary | 74c | 84.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Solary | 50c | 75.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Galions | 80c | 62.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Galions | 46c | 56.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Galions | 68c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…e30fbacked Galions | 50c | 54.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Galions | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…6876backed Galions | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Galions | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Galions | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Solary | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked Solary | 74c | 38.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…0e12backed Galions | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Solary | 56c | 32.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Galions | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…e165backed Solary | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Galions | 68c | 31.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…1e9bbacked Solary | 58c | 30.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…cc4abacked Solary | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…f42cbacked Solary | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Galions | 67c | 15.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…b14ebacked Solary | 74c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.