Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6969d7dd60e13877fa8d03f167fdd8483370ecbb8ce12badfaf92bb874096ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Galions, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Galions | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Solary | 77c | 1,855$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Galions | 18c | 1,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 50c | 1,300$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed Galions | 3c | 931$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Solary | 51c | 838$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.84 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Solary | 71c | 746.86$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Solary | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Galions | 17c | 300.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Solary | 50c | 285.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Solary | 58c | 236$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Galions | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Galions | 50c | 168.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galions | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Galions | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Galions | 25c | 109.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Galions | 46c | 104.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Galions | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Solary | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Galions | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Galions | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Solary | 61c | 49.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Solary | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Galions | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Galions | 50c | 35.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…e30fbacked Solary | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…cc4abacked Galions | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Solary | 61c | 34.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Solary | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.