Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2f623bb96232564e1ee24a232d4f7556bf560e31f16883217df4bfee584c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Galions, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,674 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Galions | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…7294backed Solary | 72c | 3,762$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Galions | 41c | 3,050$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.5 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Solary | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Galions | 40c | 1,836$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.56 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Solary | 74c | 1,619$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.66 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…bd43backed Galions | 8c | 1,237$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Galions | 20c | 1,002$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d9…6e84backed Solary | 77c | 970$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Galions | 32c | 961.93$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.03 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Solary | 59c | 806.78$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Solary | 80c | 636.14$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Galions | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Galions | 40c | 484.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Solary | 57c | 361.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions | 15c | 347.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 16c | 333.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galions | 26c | 280.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…6876backed Galions | 9c | 273.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Solary | 64c | 256.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Galions | 9c | 233$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…7921backed Solary | 79c | 207.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Galions | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Solary | 77c | 196$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Galions | 41c | 177$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Solary | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Galions | 40c | 131$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Solary | 76c | 118.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Galions | 11c | 114.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Solary | 80c | 104.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…fd6bbacked Solary | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…e165backed Solary | 59c | 101.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…5012backed Galions | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…e9ddbacked Galions | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Galions | 23c | 91.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Galions | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Solary | 60c | 74.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Galions | 21c | 64.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Solary | 58c | 61.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galions | 22c | 61.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Galions | 22c | 60.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…81ddbacked Solary | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…5548backed Solary | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4397…fe1ebacked Galions | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Solary | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Galions | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Solary | 77c | 42.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…f42cbacked Solary | 73c | 40.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Solary | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Solary | 76c | 31.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Solary | 77c | 27.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Solary | 74c | 26.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e5…3c3fbacked Solary | 76c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsthis page
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.