AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b36f27449bac18ab792efb1fce8e923d6dc190a311cb28aef0926583ae5760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,340,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,673,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,340,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc086…b1afbacked No | 1c | 90,018$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 65,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…b89cbacked No | 2c | 45,019$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked No | 0c | 41,506$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 32,999$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1327…0119backed No | 4c | 31,250$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 5c | 30,830$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.41 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 0c | 24,012$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 2c | 23,346$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.49 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 17,945$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 16,939$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.37 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed No | 0c | 14,902$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed No | 1c | 12,218$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcc…b202backed No | 1c | 12,111$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 11,875$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 8,047$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…028abacked No | 3c | 8,021$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…8a3cbacked No | 0c | 7,662$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 8c | 7,210$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.82 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 7,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 3c | 7,185$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…def7backed No | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…9139backed No | 3c | 6,880$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 0c | 6,820$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked No | 1c | 6,729$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 6,493$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…db39backed No | 1c | 5,714$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 5,699$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 3c | 4,779$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 5c | 4,710$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.18 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 1c | 4,589$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 4,583$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed No | 3c | 4,471$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…d2a0backed No | 0c | 4,404$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed No | 3c | 4,307$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…626bbacked No | 1c | 3,804$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…982bbacked No | 1c | 3,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…0b73backed No | 1c | 2,887$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…54f9backed No | 7c | 2,864$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a9…8a83backed No | 2c | 2,803$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…d376backed No | 1c | 2,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 1c | 2,789$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…d77bbacked No | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 1c | 2,441$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 5c | 2,411$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc99a…49abbacked No | 1c | 2,411$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed No | 0c | 2,244$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…151cbacked No | 2c | 2,223$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked No | 7c | 2,202$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a5…c62abacked No | 5c | 2,165$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5921…c785backed No | 3c | 2,157$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…9efbbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 1,968$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…5adebacked No | 3c | 1,932$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 6c | 1,880$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed No | 3c | 1,814$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked No | 1c | 1,757$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 2c | 1,715$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 7c | 1,693$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 6c | 1,620$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 7c | 1,435$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…c48cbacked No | 1c | 1,424$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3c98backed No | 7c | 1,399$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 3c | 1,382$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x271b…f242backed No | 3c | 1,350$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619b…7000backed No | 2c | 1,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…7db1backed No | 3c | 1,223$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…b7e2backed No | 1c | 1,154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 1c | 1,076$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…37b5backed No | 3c | 1,029$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4de9backed No | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed No | 3c | 977.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 3c | 948.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…68b6backed No | 1c | 873.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…30fabacked No | 8c | 791.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…0e9fbacked No | 2c | 746.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…9869backed No | 2c | 663.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…66b4backed No | 2c | 663.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 7c | 634.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked No | 2c | 609.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…b108backed No | 3c | 590.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…bc58backed No | 7c | 583.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…0a87backed No | 3c | 468.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…791dbacked No | 3c | 465.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 9c | 428$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…a36ebacked No | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed No | 8c | 391.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8ad4backed No | 9c | 382$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 9c | 317$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 9c | 294.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 282.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 9c | 280.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 8c | 278.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 4c | 275$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 8c | 259.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 12c | 220.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 8c | 212$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 182.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.