Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x020d9ab53e159d0a1658ddee97d5b6b90a3b84659fc7019a479ad45d3fdf9e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof REKONIX, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PlayTime | 46c | 1,469$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.64 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked REKONIX | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked PlayTime | 48c | 685.9$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.07 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed REKONIX | 58c | 402.84$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.65 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed REKONIX | 59c | 304.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed PlayTime | 54c | 258.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed REKONIX | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed PlayTime | 41c | 243.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 51c | 209.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed PlayTime | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 57c | 197.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked PlayTime | 60c | 165.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed PlayTime | 43c | 161.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked REKONIX | 60c | 125.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PlayTime | 78c | 120.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed REKONIX | 37c | 119.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…cc2ebacked REKONIX | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed REKONIX | 50c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed REKONIX | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed REKONIX | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed REKONIX | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked REKONIX | 56c | 94.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed PlayTime | 43c | 92.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked REKONIX | 76c | 83.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed REKONIX | 45c | 83.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked PlayTime | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked REKONIX | 59c | 70.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 55c | 68.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked REKONIX | 45c | 66.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 41c | 65.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked REKONIX | 39c | 60.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…cb22backed REKONIX | 34c | 56.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…bd0cbacked REKONIX | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5d33backed REKONIX | 50c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed PlayTime | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed REKONIX | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PlayTime | 45c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked REKONIX | 55c | 44.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed REKONIX | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked REKONIX | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked REKONIX | 50c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked REKONIX | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed REKONIX | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed PlayTime | 64c | 28.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +474.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed PlayTime | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…3fdabacked PlayTime | 79c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed PlayTime | 55c | 25.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fe5backed REKONIX | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked PlayTime | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PlayTime | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…1c16backed PlayTime | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…b988backed PlayTime | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed REKONIX | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.