Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb10237fa8dec75962493492ad9371e0d49d69b4ffcacd6171ab00ade95c671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 3,226$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.13 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,800$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 1,960$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 1,810$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.65 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,699$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.05 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 1,670$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.62 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,410$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,060$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 596.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 515.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 282.78$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 267.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 12c | 254.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 24c | 250.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 188.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…975cbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 104.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed Yes | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked No | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 74.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 68.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 32c | 54.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 20c | 53.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 32c | 53.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…8155backed Yes | 23c | 52.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 51.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 34c | 45.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 41.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 37.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 36.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 73c | 35.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.