Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43369ef4b9a48bf4e0452fa1e6ccaf92d52b3f82b7f9213ecd51c0eb2b5ad973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,343$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 4,690$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.97 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 14c | 4,600$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.9 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 2,849$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.14 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 2,065$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 1,731$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.26 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 1,515$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.4 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 1,467$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.97 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 25c | 1,257$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 821.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 27c | 729.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed No | 72c | 560$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 26c | 503.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 493.53$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 408.68$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 402.15$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 15c | 390.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 5c | 371.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 73c | 341.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 324.91$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 12c | 292.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Yes | 26c | 272.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 79c | 201.27$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 77c | 165.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 157.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 79c | 146.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 132.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 23c | 117.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 102.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 96.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Yes | 20c | 77.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 71c | 77.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 72.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 66.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 65.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 79c | 61.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 23c | 54.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…cc32backed Yes | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 78c | 51.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 64c | 45.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 40.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 79c | 40.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…2b97backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Yes | 30c | 34.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed No | 76c | 30.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 73c | 29.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 76c | 28.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…0ef5backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 24.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 72c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked No | 74c | 22.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 75c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…b050backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…331cbacked No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 74c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.