TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c7c…2b97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.94
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.78
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.24
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$37.62
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$38.35
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$25.2
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.4
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.95
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.23
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$51.2
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$15.96
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.25
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.71
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,688.96
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.45
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$84.24
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.44
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.6
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$143.64
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.86
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$165.59
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.94
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$373.89
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$103.22
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$169.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.37
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.82
Canucks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$32.76
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$25.96
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.65
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.99
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+88.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+82.1%+$9.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+38.9%+$3.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$92.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.