MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4961b3226ddd1a749c6eab30cab8ac67003df8afb7677abefc9fd478bde221c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $881,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Padres | 44c | 669,709$296,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373,046.38 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 56c | 248,589$139,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,574.35 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 56c | 79,900$44,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,744 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 55c | 74,960$41,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,415.42 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins | 55c | 55,000$30,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,399.99 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 55c | 40,000$22,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,100 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Padres | 48c | 39,798$19,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,701.65 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 56c | 37,510$20,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,893.39 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Marlins | 55c | 33,000$18,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,150 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 56c | 30,175$16,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,850.95 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 55c | 29,313$16,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,118.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 44c | 19,453$8,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,893.43 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Marlins | 56c | 11,100$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 56c | 11,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 45c | 8,633$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 54c | 7,684$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.65 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 56c | 7,200$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 66c | 7,063$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.77 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Marlins | 35c | 6,861$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.25 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Padres | 67c | 6,312$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.17 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Padres | 71c | 5,875$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.92 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 56c | 5,284$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Marlins | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 33c | 5,227$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.89 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Padres | 43c | 4,398$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.67 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Marlins | 55c | 4,200$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 48c | 4,181$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.02 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins | 56c | 4,074$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.39 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 31c | 3,347$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.93 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Padres | 43c | 3,333$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.06 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Marlins | 56c | 3,033$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.48 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Padres | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Marlins | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.96 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 55c | 2,345$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.72 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Marlins | 56c | 2,232$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 43c | 2,145$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.65 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 44c | 2,000$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Marlins | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Padres | 45c | 1,940$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…acf4backed Marlins | 55c | 1,940$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 58c | 1,874$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 56c | 1,847$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.04 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Marlins | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 27c | 1,788$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Padres | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 47c | 1,609$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.2 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 35c | 1,469$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Marlins | 19c | 1,410$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…2602backed Marlins | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Marlins | 57c | 1,310$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.97 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Padres | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…b269backed Padres | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…d92ebacked Padres | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…a071backed Marlins | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,260$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.1 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…ace9backed Marlins | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Marlins | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Padres | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Padres | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Marlins | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Padres | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 43c | 900$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Marlins | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Marlins | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 53c | 688.6$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Marlins | 38c | 659.95$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 36c | 630.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 42c | 568.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Marlins | 34c | 568$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Padres | 43c | 535$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.95 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 43c | 533.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 36c | 532.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 45c | 455.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Marlins | 55c | 450.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Padres | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Marlins | 54c | 320.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 46c | 261.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Padres | 43c | 256$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Padres | 45c | 235$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…d42cbacked Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres | 45c | 220.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Padres | 45c | 220.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 45c | 220.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Padres | 45c | 201.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.