TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mavericks3c22,574$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.0525536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Hornets71c3,056$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.243542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Mavericks29c2,888$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.523158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Hornets71c2,089$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.9313040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6b…47e9backed Hornets71c1,700$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks29c1,600$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Hornets76c1,318$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3918146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hornets72c1,226$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6624151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Mavericks30c1,184$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6543653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa5…f7b9backed Mavericks29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Mavericks19c999.57$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0926839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Hornets72c923.28$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.882536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31db…8ff3backed Mavericks29c900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64e…025bbacked Mavericks28c842.37$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.861330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mavericks28c794.97$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2760834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Hornets74c790.67$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6916852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks1c746$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mavericks14c724.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Mavericks30c672.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Hornets77c600$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1413458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3022…145abacked Hornets71c592.96$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Hornets79c555.22$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.995054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Mavericks30c528.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Mavericks18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Hornets73c499.96$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Hornets74c488.81$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.286051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Hornets74c464.07$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.273767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd684…1a34backed Mavericks29c450$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Mavericks23c444$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1246342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Hornets71c440$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.610643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Mavericks23c436.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9726233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf98e…40a5backed Hornets71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks26c399.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9970153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Hornets69c328.68$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0316361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks31c321.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4917…16dabacked Mavericks32c309.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…4e95backed Mavericks26c302.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd160…603dbacked Mavericks27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets77c262.17$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.681,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Mavericks29c242.14$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+83.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks35c219.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2736247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcf…c26fbacked Hornets77c203.82$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.133060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks28c202.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.062,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mavericks30c200.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9a…ac1dbacked Hornets75c200.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.077100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Mavericks29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Hornets69c173.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.654447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Mavericks29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Hornets72c158.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30c…9c06backed Hornets72c137.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Mavericks38c132.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.210856.5%61 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed1d…8707backed Mavericks29c130.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Hornets67c130$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.658026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Mavericks27c122.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.167258.3%42 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497b…a32abacked Hornets72c120.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.511936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hornets72c116.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Hornets73c114.62$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks25c112.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.011,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Mavericks29c102.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018236.8%67 W · 115 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mavericks31c101$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1559743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hornets70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Mavericks25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Mavericks28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.833231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mavericks28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2869337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Hornets75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253976.9%30 W · 9 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Mavericks25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-83.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Mavericks25c99.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9943321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Mavericks28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.364959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Mavericks23c91.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.673461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Mavericks13c81.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.496753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Mavericks30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.631631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Hornets69c79.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Mavericks26c76.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Mavericks31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5479…ef16backed Mavericks17c65.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9e…f0f9backed Mavericks31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Hornets69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.672647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Mavericks34c59.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Mavericks35c57.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206025%15 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e2…d478backed Mavericks30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1e…7ba5backed Hornets71c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.242161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed6e…6040backed Hornets76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.632360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe74f…9051backed Mavericks26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Hornets69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.533650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Mavericks27c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.522939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae7…bd4fbacked Mavericks25c43.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa249…12fabacked Hornets74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.542857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Mavericks25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Hornets65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1437852.9%200 W · 178 L-20.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Mavericks31c36.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.273943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Hornets71c32.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3416061.3%98 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Mavericks32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed Hornets74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c4…6582backed Hornets79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Hornets73c24.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6690560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…c9c9backed Hornets75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789a…bf3fbacked Hornets75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf65…495dbacked Hornets74c23.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.