NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b536da63945f429fcae558bea44f724e238084762100a833a189b6b3bec4261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Pistons | 45c | 54,414$24,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,237.13 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pistons | 0c | 46,418$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 56c | 24,687$13,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,944 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Magic | 57c | 24,370$13,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,421.55 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Pistons | 43c | 20,555$8,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,838.63 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Pistons | 43c | 17,444$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 37c | 13,334$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,360.83 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 64c | 12,635$8,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.01 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Magic | 66c | 10,979$7,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.14 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 56c | 10,225$5,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.71 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Pistons | 42c | 9,103$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.24 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 57c | 6,634$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.46 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Pistons | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 54c | 4,914$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Magic | 55c | 4,844$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 44c | 4,427$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.96 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pistons | 42c | 3,400$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Pistons | 46c | 3,376$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 44c | 3,317$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.34 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…cb73backed Pistons | 3c | 3,125$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…d382backed Magic | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Pistons | 45c | 2,910$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.45 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Pistons | 40c | 2,874$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.12 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Magic | 60c | 2,746$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.26 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Pistons | 47c | 2,633$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 54c | 2,585$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.65 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 56c | 2,500$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 56c | 2,463$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 30c | 2,359$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Magic | 50c | 2,269$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.68 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Pistons | 12c | 2,180$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 27c | 2,074$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.94 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…9059backed Pistons | 65c | 2,044$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…b561backed Pistons | 64c | 2,042$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…b42bbacked Pistons | 1c | 2,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pistons | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pistons | 68c | 1,970$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pistons | 58c | 1,936$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.23 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Pistons | 43c | 1,826$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.12 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Magic | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Pistons | 45c | 1,810$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…1988backed Magic | 55c | 1,810$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Pistons | 39c | 1,805$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.53 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…af9abacked Magic | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Pistons | 45c | 1,720$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,613$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 2c | 1,559$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 47c | 1,505$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 41c | 1,494$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.59 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Pistons | 56c | 1,398$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pistons | 44c | 1,344$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.18 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Pistons | 1c | 1,190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Magic | 55c | 1,177$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.84 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Magic | 58c | 1,177$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…35fbbacked Pistons | 44c | 1,171$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Pistons | 53c | 1,083$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.74 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magic | 56c | 1,058$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.31 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Pistons | 42c | 1,057$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pistons | 43c | 1,048$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Magic | 56c | 1,023$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.72 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…9a68backed Magic | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…4740backed Pistons | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 54c | 985.5$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.71 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Pistons | 49c | 925.3$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…09d9backed Pistons | 44c | 919.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 55c | 909.46$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.12 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pistons | 27c | 800$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8d54backed Pistons | 52c | 789.39$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Magic | 44c | 778.62$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.39 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Magic | 56c | 691.74$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.74 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 50c | 671.54$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Magic | 55c | 650.21$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed Pistons | 45c | 650.21$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…c995backed Pistons | 64c | 624.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 56c | 622.11$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 44c | 616.63$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Pistons | 38c | 615.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Pistons | 41c | 609.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Pistons | 8c | 600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…78e3backed Pistons | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 43c | 578.5$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…4d27backed Pistons | 41c | 570$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Magic | 56c | 561.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.44 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Magic | 51c | 555$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Magic | 59c | 528.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pistons | 2c | 510$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 56c | 504.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Magic | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 55c | 496.58$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked Pistons | 45c | 466.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…aad2backed Magic | 55c | 466.85$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…9b61backed Pistons | 50c | 466.02$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.