NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e38ac4d007f52aa4c9a9308c0b145fb9f73f61f2c7202e907cdc63461183515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Kings, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kings | 41c | 11,379$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.77 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 59c | 5,384$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.72 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Avalanche | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,570$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.54 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kings | 40c | 2,183$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 41c | 2,018$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,002$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Kings | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,139$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.99 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche | 72c | 851$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 25c | 826.65$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 39c | 734.36$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Avalanche | 62c | 643.55$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Avalanche | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 41c | 599.95$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Kings | 38c | 597.55$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kings | 3c | 574.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 60c | 417.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 58c | 299.87$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 59c | 286.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kings | 39c | 265.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Kings | 41c | 258.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Avalanche | 61c | 234.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Avalanche | 7c | 172.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 43c | 167.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Avalanche | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Kings | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 37c | 159.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…5e0dbacked Kings | 41c | 157.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kings | 39c | 153.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…9eebbacked Kings | 41c | 146.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 38c | 145.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…3ae3backed Kings | 41c | 135.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 59c | 134$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 40c | 128.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…3e55backed Kings | 41c | 117.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…af99backed Kings | 43c | 115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…6c3abacked Kings | 41c | 110.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Avalanche | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kings | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Avalanche | 58c | 99.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…09e8backed Avalanche | 60c | 95.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88c…eb27backed Avalanche | 60c | 95.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7a9dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 95.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…80a0backed Avalanche | 60c | 91.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f982backed Avalanche | 60c | 89.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…25d3backed Avalanche | 60c | 88.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…b7b8backed Avalanche | 60c | 87.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…53eabacked Avalanche | 60c | 87.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…561ebacked Avalanche | 60c | 85.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…6d96backed Kings | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…5866backed Avalanche | 60c | 84.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…9883backed Kings | 41c | 80.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…6da4backed Avalanche | 60c | 78.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…6b93backed Kings | 41c | 77.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347e…5cccbacked Kings | 41c | 69.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…c612backed Avalanche | 60c | 67.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…9e78backed Kings | 42c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kings | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Avalanche | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…db23backed Avalanche | 59c | 57.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e98…7b9ebacked Kings | 42c | 50.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Avalanche | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…8e2bbacked Kings | 41c | 46.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…19e2backed Avalanche | 60c | 46.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Avalanche | 61c | 44.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Kings | 38c | 43.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Avalanche | 59c | 42.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd5…fd80backed Avalanche | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2a8ebacked Kings | 42c | 40.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Avalanche | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…f8b0backed Kings | 42c | 36.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…7b06backed Kings | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…8726backed Kings | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…a655backed Kings | 42c | 36.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…afcdbacked Avalanche | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Avalanche | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…4617backed Avalanche | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…d802backed Avalanche | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…fbcbbacked Kings | 42c | 33.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Avalanche | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Avalanche | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…72e9backed Avalanche | 59c | 31.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…5135backed Avalanche | 59c | 30.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Avalanche | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…2b97backed Avalanche | 59c | 29.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…9e44backed Kings | 42c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4ddfbacked Avalanche | 59c | 27.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…f299backed Avalanche | 59c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.