TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,256 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over8c11,693$951 inLost-$950.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over6c10,180$591 inLost-$591.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over20c6,297$1,252 inLost-$1,251.956930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c5,946$268 inLost-$267.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over4c3,151$137 inLost-$137.2559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over11c3,048$324 inLost-$324.2936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over7c2,331$170 inLost-$17024132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over21c2,326$500 inLost-$50015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9aa…6628backed Over8c1,206$97 inLost-$97.173030%9 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…89bfbacked Over2c1,193$24 inLost-$24.341118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over15c726.49$108 inLost-$107.651,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Over3c714.29$20 inLost-$2028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over3c711.45$19 inLost-$19.4495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over3c580.01$18 inLost-$18.3173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over10c530.52$52 inLost-$52.232,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over2c526.58$10 inLost-$1043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c503.98$52 inLost-$52.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over6c500$30 inLost-$29.533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over5c500$25 inLost-$24.9940515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c491.04$98 inLost-$98.212,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over7c442.86$31 inLost-$318723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Over9c350$32 inLost-$31.57358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed Over15c333.4$50 inLost-$508239%32 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a3…223ebacked Over6c333.33$20 inLost-$204017.5%7 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over8c331.11$26 inLost-$25.662,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c290.5$52 inLost-$52.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over20c236.18$47 inLost-$475137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e2a4backed Over22c226.24$50 inLost-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over16c202.17$33 inLost-$32.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…db18backed Over16c186.58$30 inLost-$306630.3%20 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over21c140.85$30 inLost-$3011748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Over19c121.11$23 inLost-$2315130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over20c120$24 inLost-$241,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over11c111$12 inLost-$1218036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over18c100$18 inLost-$17.6718431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over20c51$10 inLost-$10.215252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over23c50.06$11 inLost-$11.312,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under80c15.65$13 inWon+$3.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.