Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07dd152fb1efa1c82be42e668415b4fad1efc02982aad72f86b6fbfa655149b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Over | 51c | 4,471$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.42 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,499$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 1,310$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 1,263$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.18 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 42c | 1,062$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.24 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 55c | 999.94$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 59c | 779.66$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 58c | 690.31$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.21 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 669.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 46c | 427$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 61c | 375$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Over | 59c | 243.15$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…ce14backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked Under | 39c | 233.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 227.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8ac3backed Under | 41c | 213.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 60c | 208.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over | 59c | 196.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 60c | 147.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under | 40c | 138.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 42c | 114.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 40c | 85.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 80c | 85.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…10b3backed Over | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 71.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Over | 60c | 65.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 43c | 54.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 30c | 54.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…afb3backed Over | 58c | 48.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…96c1backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 47c | 41.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…200ebacked Over | 60c | 40.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8686…008abacked Over | 57c | 39.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…cefebacked Under | 50c | 36.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 58c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.