Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a8456e1acbb925262f0784503644ae6bdd70cf3c9be375725176a2c591931e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 1,509$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 1,221$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.02 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 981.68$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.44 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 876.78$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.63 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 58c | 710.03$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.85 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 699.81$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.11 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…43aabacked Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 40c | 500.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Over | 43c | 451.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 282.56$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 264.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Over | 40c | 251.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 206.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 42c | 138.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 110.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Under | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 85.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 59c | 85.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 73.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 61c | 71.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 39c | 64.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 39.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 44c | 30.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 58c | 17.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.