Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b0b462a032ce8973781018668955515aa2fd7e1523b5a1624b056883e9dbd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 5,072$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 49c | 1,618$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.96 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 916.05$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 860.83$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.1 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 796.03$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.02 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 746.17$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.21 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 51c | 745.16$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.54 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 609.82$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.91 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed No | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 288.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 54c | 249.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 247.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 50c | 244.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 46c | 211.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 189.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 46c | 148.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 51c | 119.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 93.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 88.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 51c | 60.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 54c | 46.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked No | 52c | 45.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed No | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 49c | 32.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed No | 54c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 52c | 19.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.