Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc424cc1e7dacdd70807962ee00cc46fd731ce20704cbc5808b7cf2c156c0cb43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Górnik Zabrzeof Ferencvárosi TC, Górnik Zabrze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ferencvárosi TC | 24c | 7,142$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.66 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Górnik Zabrze | 75c | 6,611$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Górnik Zabrze | 71c | 1,622$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.32 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Ferencvárosi TC | 25c | 1,263$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.54 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Ferencvárosi TC | 32c | 1,197$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.07 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ferencvárosi TC | 31c | 819.53$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Górnik Zabrze | 66c | 590.06$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.31 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Ferencvárosi TC | 34c | 480$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Górnik Zabrze | 76c | 355.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Górnik Zabrze | 76c | 329.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Górnik Zabrze | 76c | 325.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Górnik Zabrze | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 75c | 247$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Górnik Zabrze | 74c | 216.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Górnik Zabrze | 74c | 166.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…1ddfbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 31c | 160.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Ferencvárosi TC | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ferencvárosi TC | 17c | 114.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Ferencvárosi TC | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Górnik Zabrze | 68c | 99.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Górnik Zabrze | 76c | 86.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…a9c6backed Ferencvárosi TC | 32c | 58.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 73c | 58.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 75c | 56.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Górnik Zabrze | 80c | 55.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Górnik Zabrze | 74c | 55.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Górnik Zabrze | 68c | 51.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Ferencvárosi TC | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Górnik Zabrze | 68c | 43.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Górnik Zabrze | 75c | 35.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Górnik Zabrze | 68c | 32.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Górnik Zabrze | 67c | 29.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Górnik Zabrze | 70c | 24.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Górnik Zabrze | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.