Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e5c27248e8bd4d6d8ef0e4d91ab17b93599609c676cad22085dfd5ecfea708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 4,582$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 62c | 3,139$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.17 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 2,849$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.5 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 1,512$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 64c | 1,415$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.36 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 1,186$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.68 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 3c | 1,074$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 5c | 1,053$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 441.65$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 43c | 336.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 77c | 324.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a7c4backed Over | 47c | 293.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 234.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 22c | 226.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 60c | 226.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 79c | 223.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 61c | 177.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 22c | 139.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 72c | 137.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…96fabacked Over | 50c | 137.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 135.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 61c | 132.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 22c | 100.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 94.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 12c | 88.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 66c | 79.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 53c | 54.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Under | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 54.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 50c | 53.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 48c | 51.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Over | 46c | 45.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 60c | 43.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…23a4backed Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 30.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 61c | 28.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 50c | 25.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…35a6backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 24.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Under | 76c | 24.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 24.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.