Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x201627450de7b83dc71636c267786aa74ee7bc99d00d773c8d7699c9980abfe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 50c | 9,504$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.24 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 6,821$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.51 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 5,591$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 17c | 3,035$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.88 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,606$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,311$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.83 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 1,135$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.74 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 38c | 773.84$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 47c | 657.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 54c | 556.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 50c | 533.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 25c | 520$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 505.17$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 50c | 433.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…a51cbacked Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 243.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…92d7backed Under | 49c | 204.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 180.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 37c | 159.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 13c | 121.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 101.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 63c | 94.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 74c | 92.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 92.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 74c | 91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 49.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 50c | 49.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 42.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 42.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 41.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 39.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Under | 51c | 39.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 73c | 31.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 30.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 71c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.