Serie A · resolved market
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd852ac9acb15bf6da6de78533591d41f710074176f364c6529e6e1ee928ebd61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genoa CFCof US Lecce, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046b…340dbacked US Lecce | 25c | 11,003$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 2,800$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked US Lecce | 24c | 1,647$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.3 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Genoa CFC | 77c | 1,455$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.65 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed US Lecce | 23c | 1,420$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.68 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 1,286$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Genoa CFC | 74c | 1,278$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.81 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Genoa CFC | 76c | 1,093$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Genoa CFC | 76c | 1,014$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.81 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Genoa CFC | 74c | 968.66$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Genoa CFC | 76c | 860.31$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 640$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…809dbacked US Lecce | 24c | 298.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Genoa CFC | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked US Lecce | 29c | 180.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed US Lecce | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked US Lecce | 23c | 145.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed US Lecce | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked US Lecce | 36c | 87.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Genoa CFC | 77c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Genoa CFC | 73c | 47.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Genoa CFC | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 39.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 39.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Genoa CFC | 77c | 26.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Genoa CFC | 67c | 19.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.