Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25a8f395d79f91128806f70a854218b25691e21a270de49dbfea13ca8c17ebee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 25c | 5,742$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.76 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,622$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 3,485$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 3,329$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.61 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 64c | 2,368$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 78c | 1,927$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 36c | 1,579$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Under | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 36c | 1,042$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.81 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 64c | 933.99$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 19c | 884.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.59 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 34c | 874.61$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 78c | 639.45$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.84 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 619.16$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 52c | 483$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.32 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 57c | 417.22$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 346.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 69c | 339.45$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 35c | 338$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 290.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 71c | 288.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 70c | 209.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 69c | 187.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 18c | 184.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 31c | 129.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 123.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 111.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 14c | 102.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 37c | 101.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 68c | 100.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 64c | 96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 76.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 37c | 69.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 66c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 67c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 69c | 39.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 34c | 39.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 62c | 35.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Over | 67c | 30.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…ed50backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5981backed Under | 53c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 72c | 21.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 68c | 20.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…7188backed Over | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.