Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a35f9a10673ec55161744752b54b8bf6887f1f5fab1f48fe579044cd2b108b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 8,467$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.12 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 28c | 5,171$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 4,884$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.07 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,476$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.83 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 65c | 4,185$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.07 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…d6c6backed Over | 44c | 3,256$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 64c | 2,999$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.17 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 2,554$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 37c | 2,368$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under | 44c | 1,790$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 1,281$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.72 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 1,030$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 62c | 1,023$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.58 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 61c | 1,010$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 71c | 894.14$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 37c | 883.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 60c | 821.3$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.68 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 55c | 599.89$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 36c | 533.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 54c | 517.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 30c | 499.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 489.82$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 41c | 470$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 25c | 412.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 39c | 299.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 270.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 248$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 36c | 235.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Over | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 63c | 182.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…262dbacked Over | 57c | 176.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Over | 40c | 172.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 169.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Under | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 20c | 87.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 62c | 63.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 55.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 40c | 55.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 59c | 49.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 48.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 32c | 47.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 62c | 38.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 70c | 36.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 53c | 34.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 69c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 61c | 26.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…7af8backed Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 63c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.