Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965156ff76d474aa307ef7cf855e73af952ab05c7e07dfd01ac060f77c78bd82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 46c | 4,384$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,626$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 44c | 1,443$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 1,314$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.74 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 1,114$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 981.21$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.55 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 52c | 939.25$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 54c | 834.96$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.08 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 56c | 677.09$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 56c | 521.43$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 44c | 447.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 396.53$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 281.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 45c | 278.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 37c | 264.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 263.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 51c | 259$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Yes | 35c | 245.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 229.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 187.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 56c | 136.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked No | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 44c | 114.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +120%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 97.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 46c | 96.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 44c | 95.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Yes | 46c | 83.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 47c | 81.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 43c | 74.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 58.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 51.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…2cacbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 55c | 37.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 58c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.