TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c4,723$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.673,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c4,683$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.871,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked Under10c4,040$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Under11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under10c3,295$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.94728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+79.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9811645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over55c2,257$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.7955845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8df…a2c7backed Under9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Over49c1,797$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.331643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under50c1,712$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.413661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa937…a334backed Under4c1,144$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over58c824.31$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.832,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c725.89$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.462,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3335358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Under42c547.62$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over58c471$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8227039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c436.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1179532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under47c429.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c374.81$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.612,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c330.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7610627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under8c320$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under48c306.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2829959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under49c278.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3731856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under42c238.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3465549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c224.42$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.956849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over60c222.26$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3418252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under46c208.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.063056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8814630.1%44 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under45c199.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8939357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under49c192.09$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3119163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under49c170.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.385260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under50c151.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5410157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under48c149.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9958061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over57c115.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2669448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over52c101.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7417446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611260.7%68 W · 44 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.253564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under56c86.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3314637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over58c84.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c82.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4429470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3279354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under40c74.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5144156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under41c67.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4413450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under30c62.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.592142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under48c60.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7312254.1%66 W · 56 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under42c56.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.798461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Over47c51.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.415662.5%35 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over52c48.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4845135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over60c46.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.835146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Under41c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.042352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under50c41.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.577580%60 W · 15 L+12.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over57c39.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.941,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over70c38.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7933446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over59c36.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over53c36.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3823461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c7b…3d69backed Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under50c34.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.416969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Over55c34.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c33.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Under44c30.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.414136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Under42c30.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.878755.2%48 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under43c30.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.921877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+72.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under52c28.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8545348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over57c27.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8165535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over45c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over62c26.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1214931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a2…f26ebacked Over70c25.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under45c24.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a5…3da0backed Over58c20.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.691963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.