Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8178715865b6dd3ff6b1e04b22d4c66f0bc5c87ad20846870965912dec7890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.51 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 1,590$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.24 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 786.6$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.32 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 772.02$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.09 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 734.85$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 45c | 685.74$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.67 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 531.09$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 57c | 470.74$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 449.43$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 39c | 335.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 328.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 52c | 315$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 203.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 38c | 197.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 157.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 60c | 150.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 45c | 142.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 112$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 45c | 82.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 45c | 64.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 61.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 66c | 60.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 47c | 59.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…9915backed No | 41c | 49.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 39c | 48.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 61c | 46.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 39c | 31.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…c6d3backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 61c | 24.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 61c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: FC Vaduz O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: FC Vaduz O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FC Vaduz won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-2.5)FC Vaduz won
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.