Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976a54f790fb192720aaa47313a395464bc1bb494131aa90520e8638ba9d8d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 21c | 15,000$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.2 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed No | 74c | 8,516$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 7,549$5,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.76 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 4,612$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.71 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 2,048$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 1,165$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 1,155$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,147$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 12c | 999.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 26c | 909.19$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 802.98$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 675$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 26c | 648.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 584.13$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 420.27$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…3657backed Yes | 7c | 414.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Yes | 26c | 406.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 373.83$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Yes | 8c | 354.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 26c | 267.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 74c | 256$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 11c | 190.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Yes | 11c | 137.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 9c | 134.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 75c | 126.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…2011backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 112.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 26c | 111.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…4140backed Yes | 27c | 107.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed No | 74c | 94.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 80c | 87.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 77c | 73.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 21c | 68.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Yes | 24c | 57.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…103bbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Yes | 26c | 56.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 26c | 52.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed Yes | 27c | 51.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 28c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 74c | 18.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 78c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?this page
- Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-21?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.