Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bac281cc753705a4e34ea16f851a743f273f9357c493fb105849728a7827901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 59c | 10,979$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.38 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 3,561$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.94 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 41c | 2,102$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.98 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 7c | 1,571$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 1,496$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.63 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 43c | 993.91$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.38 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 609$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 41c | 594.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 416.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 385.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 44c | 348.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 40c | 305$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 58c | 243.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 241.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 29c | 211$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed No | 10c | 206.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 56c | 177.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 54c | 176.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 41c | 172.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 44c | 147.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Yes | 55c | 132.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 109.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked No | 47c | 98.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 57c | 92.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…7e90backed Yes | 54c | 81.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 79.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked No | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 71c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 62c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 64c | 68.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed Yes | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Yes | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 56c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 47.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 71c | 45.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 59c | 37.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 33.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…37dfbacked Yes | 50c | 29.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 26.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Yes | 55c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 58c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 56c | 23.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 54c | 22.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…bbccbacked Yes | 57c | 22.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 58c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 0.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 1.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Rīga FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Team to AdvanceRīga FC won
- Spread: FK Vardar Skopje (-1.5)Rīga FC won
- Spread: FK Vardar Skopje (-2.5)Rīga FC won
- Spread: Rīga FC (-1.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
- Spread: Rīga FC (-2.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.