TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd09…8974backed Over0c85,578$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-81%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c3,133$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.733,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over36c2,998$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.661,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c2,810$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.7255845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c2,387$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.392,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under76c1,762$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.5697346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over62c1,492$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.263857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under79c1,070$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.758550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over27c997.23$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.442,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c890.5$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.962,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under65c734.03$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.363948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under63c714.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.510157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under69c700.53$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4227846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under55c699.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3155358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under68c657.47$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2729959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over46c645.29$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.74459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed9f…debabacked Under76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under71c591.16$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17033446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over39c499.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.995927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under49c495.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.213661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over42c471.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over41c424.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.242,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under78c384.87$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.73253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under60c345.71$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.323950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under72c343.47$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8435146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over38c337.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.795158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over4c319.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over61c299.64$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.785350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under58c275$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7518449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over6c260$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under47c229.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.898757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under62c195.31$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over15c194.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308316.9%14 W · 69 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over47c189.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.033961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over43c177.7$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.418333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under78c158.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c158.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.271,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under59c145.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.071,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over62c145$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.95747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c144$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.724330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under75c133.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over29c131.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4931856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under69c126.37$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.423855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over62c125$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Over48c122.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over18c112.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6537046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0721…bbedbacked Over45c107.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over12c105.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.234763.8%30 W · 17 L+11.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+86.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c104.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.121,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under64c102.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5258061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.519848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under48c99.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9915224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under58c81.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3365549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under64c76.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under58c74.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1819736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under48c71.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6329337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under66c67.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0219163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over42c64.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2218145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over43c59.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7150154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over37c56.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110238.2%39 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Under64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.692653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under57c52.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over39c51.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511260.7%68 W · 44 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over29c49.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4431430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over62c48.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.963333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under66c43.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.865667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x038c…b4e0backed Over45c43.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over62c43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.662646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over56c40.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7533522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7bd…f180backed Over74c40.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c38.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.611,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcadf…b2e3backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.223951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over40c32.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…323bbacked Over45c32.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under68c31.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1829470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over39c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.924953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c26.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3417958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed Over44c26.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under64c25.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over62c23.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Under68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…a2fabacked Under77c19.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under77c13.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9717153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c12.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.511860.2%71 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.