Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b09b1f47430796eff6be9ddac8564c0773e91af912eec94cbc07d239b710f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,868$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 39c | 2,849$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,288$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,101$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 586.6$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.89 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 61c | 346.6$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.28 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…0445backed Yes | 17c | 127.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 80.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed Yes | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 42.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 35.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…40debacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 68c | 24.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Team to AdvanceIlves Tampere won
- Spread: Ilves Tampere (-1.5)UMF Stjarnan won
- Spread: Ilves Tampere (-2.5)UMF Stjarnan won
- Spread: UMF Stjarnan (-1.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: UMF Stjarnan (-2.5)Ilves Tampere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.