Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9ab96e650c47ea540a09f987e2ec240af7b422adb5218146f2a809d9efd973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilves Tampereof Ilves Tampere, UMF Stjarnan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed UMF Stjarnan | 53c | 4,858$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Ilves Tampere | 36c | 1,040$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed UMF Stjarnan | 53c | 999.92$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UMF Stjarnan | 64c | 830$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.2 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 725$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 548.45$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Ilves Tampere | 59c | 365.4$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UMF Stjarnan | 54c | 279.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ilves Tampere | 46c | 192.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Ilves Tampere | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilves Tampere | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ilves Tampere | 46c | 102.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ilves Tampere | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c6…3a04backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Ilves Tampere | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Ilves Tampere | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed UMF Stjarnan | 48c | 64.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 51.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 47.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…dda6backed Ilves Tampere | 69c | 43.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UMF Stjarnan | 29c | 43.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 41.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Ilves Tampere | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…9a13backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed UMF Stjarnan | 53c | 37.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 33.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…77aabacked Ilves Tampere | 66c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ilves Tampere | 48c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Team to Advancethis page
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ilves Tampere (-1.5)UMF Stjarnan won
- Spread: Ilves Tampere (-2.5)UMF Stjarnan won
- Spread: UMF Stjarnan (-1.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: UMF Stjarnan (-2.5)Ilves Tampere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.