Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24217f3f4cfd4420787abd9abdefece67e01822c62e7cd354005773f01e565e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 2,708$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.01 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 66c | 1,355$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.88 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 65c | 1,210$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.46 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 69c | 565.53$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 527$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 66c | 409.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 66c | 301.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Under | 64c | 207.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 188$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 180.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 134.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 125.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 108.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 93.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Over | 33c | 75.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 67c | 74.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…c3b7backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 66c | 39.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed Under | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 66c | 20.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 69c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 73c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.