Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3bec56a80ed57dd0ba9be37f6b20fd2a19e8c2ca76201d66d2d985cc2450afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 260.31$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.23 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 46c | 120.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 98.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 51c | 97.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 40c | 89.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 78.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 58c | 61.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 61.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 56.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 57c | 44.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 39.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 29.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 70c | 15.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.