Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07cb8a54164f58d2fad988f5db799847db6d63274636b32f02365979c99c227c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,114$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.65 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,048$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.89 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 164.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 160.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 57c | 147.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 143.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 50c | 122.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 121.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 36c | 116$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 50c | 111.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 32c | 92.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 89.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 36c | 86.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 50c | 76.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 43c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 57.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…c3b7backed Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…963ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 51c | 39.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 49c | 39.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 52c | 36.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Yes | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Yes | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed No | 46c | 28.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 50c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 71c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.