Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e00681a77080d82f1bf407824748877d7d575dbcaa7efa501689e7dbc8f7c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 6,124$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.98 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 1,810$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 1,294$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 16c | 1,154$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 765.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 489$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 17c | 261.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 16c | 248.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Over | 16c | 223.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 16c | 220.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 16c | 218.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d3a8backed Over | 16c | 197.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 18c | 188.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 16c | 181.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…5bb9backed Over | 16c | 155.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…b665backed Over | 16c | 136.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 121.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 18c | 106.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 16c | 85.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 16c | 71.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.