Champions League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dc6afce8e12d9a3fa37c596fb4d3247e3c66cd71655b09d33c90d9908048ef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 15c | 2,968$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.26 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 79c | 2,195$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.05 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 2,109$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.22 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 22c | 1,979$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 1,623$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 14c | 1,278$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 68c | 818.94$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over | 9c | 578.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over | 2c | 540.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 526.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 15c | 483.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 23c | 439.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 11c | 243.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Under | 74c | 210.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 8c | 198$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…54b0backed Under | 73c | 197.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 73c | 177.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 172$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 20c | 150.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 68c | 142.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 132.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Over | 11c | 95.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Under | 74c | 81.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Under | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 70c | 73.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 18c | 70.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 28c | 54.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Under | 73c | 50.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed Under | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 70c | 47.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 73c | 41.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 68c | 39.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Under | 72c | 38.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 53c | 34.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…7a82backed Under | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 29c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…d268backed Under | 73c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 71c | 18.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Under | 73c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Team to AdvanceSabah FK won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Sabah FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.