Champions League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4117174cd25b6c9ad43bb2013d716fac6103a23c18bd14f2e51695a185349bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 17c | 3,684$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.28 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 21c | 3,024$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.19 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 5c | 2,741$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 15c | 2,373$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 5c | 1,379$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 16c | 1,224$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 2c | 1,166$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 79c | 992.59$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 12c | 838.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 10c | 709.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 611.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 2c | 573.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under | 5c | 444$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 9c | 432.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 19c | 381.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 4c | 326.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Under | 7c | 286.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 16c | 279.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 7c | 177.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…f414backed Under | 7c | 158.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…f13cbacked Under | 15c | 136.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…ff96backed Under | 14c | 92.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 80c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Team to AdvanceSabah FK won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Sabah FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.