Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bd1b6daa3bc1183f5ea0bc5699ee84d412b598c7632d4d2f3349b315613db23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Rapid Wienof SK Rapid Wien, Paide Linnameeskond
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SK Rapid Wien | 21c | 790.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.39 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Rapid Wien | 40c | 666.86$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.71 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed SK Rapid Wien | 39c | 515.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Paide Linnameeskond | 60c | 365.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paide Linnameeskond | 64c | 305.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Paide Linnameeskond | 65c | 285$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.25 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Paide Linnameeskond | 64c | 240.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Paide Linnameeskond | 50c | 232.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Paide Linnameeskond | 64c | 119.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Paide Linnameeskond | 64c | 112$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Rapid Wien | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SK Rapid Wien | 36c | 99.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Paide Linnameeskond | 70c | 95.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed SK Rapid Wien | 35c | 62.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Paide Linnameeskond | 65c | 59.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Paide Linnameeskond | 64c | 48.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Paide Linnameeskond | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed SK Rapid Wien | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed Paide Linnameeskond | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Paide Linnameeskond | 61c | 19.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)this page
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 4.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Paide Linnameeskond 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 0.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 1.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: SK Rapid Wien O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)SK Rapid Wien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.